HTB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($42.78)
DCF	$9.74	-77.2%
Graham Number	$54.16	+26.6%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$10.71	-75.0%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -1.4% / EPS: 12.2%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.44%

Computed WACC: 7.44%

Cost of equity (Re)9.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.89 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)80.98%

Debt weight (D/V)19.02%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$9.74

Current Price$42.78

Upside / Downside-77.2%

Net Debt (used)-$168.31M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	4.2%	8.2%	12.2%	16.2%	20.2%
7.0%	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74
8.0%	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74
9.0%	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74
10.0%	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74
11.0%	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74	$9.74

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $3.72

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $35.04

Results

Graham Number$54.16

Current Price$42.78

Margin of Safety+26.6%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.44%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.44%

Cost of equity (Re)9.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.89 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)80.98%

Debt weight (D/V)19.02%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$42.78

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-1.4%

Historical Earnings Growth12.2%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.52

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$10.71

Current Price$42.78

Upside / Downside-75.0%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$168.31M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.74

Current Price$42.78

Upside / Downside-77.2%

Implied EV$0

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