MDV

MDV — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($15.11)
DCF$-55.61-468.0%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$24.72+63.6%
EV/EBITDA$19.20+27.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$17.14M
Rev: 1.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 3.85%
Computed WACC: 3.85%
Cost of equity (Re)2.53%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.32 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.80%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)35.69%
Debt weight (D/V)64.31%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-168.76
Current Price$15.11
Upside / Downside-1216.9%
Net Debt (used)$270.52M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-55.86$-61.84$-68.78$-76.83$-86.09
8.0%$-50.61$-55.41$-61.00$-67.45$-74.88
9.0%$-46.97$-50.97$-55.61$-60.97$-67.13
10.0%$-44.29$-47.71$-51.66$-56.22$-61.45
11.0%$-42.25$-45.21$-48.64$-52.59$-57.12

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.27
Yahoo: $16.06

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$15.11
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.85%
Computed WACC: 3.85%
Cost of equity (Re)2.53%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.32 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.80%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)35.69%
Debt weight (D/V)64.31%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$15.11
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth1.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$17.14M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.72
Current Price$15.11
Upside / Downside+63.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $35.33M
Current: 13.2×
Default: $270.52M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.20
Current Price$15.11
Upside / Downside+27.1%
Implied EV$467.82M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.73B-$729.48M$270.52M$1.27B$2.27B
9.2x$200.09$102.77$5.45$-91.88$-189.20
11.2x$206.97$109.65$12.32$-85.00$-182.32
13.2x$213.85$116.53$19.20$-78.12$-175.44
15.2x$220.73$123.40$26.08$-71.24$-168.57
17.2x$227.61$130.28$32.96$-64.37$-161.69