META

META — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($639.29)
DCF$551.89-13.7%
Graham Number$212.90-66.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 26.4%
DDM$43.26-93.2%
EV/EBITDA$739.36+15.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $23.43B
Rev: 23.8% / EPS: 10.7%
Computed: 10.86%
Computed WACC: 10.86%
Cost of equity (Re)11.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.78%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.00%
Debt weight (D/V)5.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$408.63
Current Price$639.29
Upside / Downside-36.1%
Net Debt (used)$3.49B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term15.8%19.8%23.8%27.8%31.8%
7.0%$611.09$719.65$843.37$983.82$1142.64
8.0%$487.17$572.90$670.53$781.30$906.48
9.0%$402.08$472.15$551.89$642.31$744.45
10.0%$340.23$398.94$465.71$541.38$626.80
11.0%$293.39$343.51$400.48$464.99$537.79

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $23.46
Yahoo: $85.87

Results

Graham Number$212.90
Current Price$639.29
Margin of Safety-66.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.86%
Computed WACC: 10.86%
Cost of equity (Re)11.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.78%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.00%
Debt weight (D/V)5.00%

Results

Current Price$639.29
Implied Near-term FCF Growth32.2%
Historical Revenue Growth23.8%
Historical Earnings Growth10.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$23.43B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.10

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$43.26
Current Price$639.29
Upside / Downside-93.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $101.89B
Current: 15.9×
Default: $3.49B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$739.36
Current Price$639.29
Upside / Downside+15.7%
Implied EV$1.62T
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.49B$2.49B$3.49B$4.49B$5.49B
11.9x$553.93$553.47$553.01$552.55$552.10
13.9x$647.10$646.64$646.18$645.73$645.27
15.9x$740.27$739.81$739.36$738.90$738.44
17.9x$833.44$832.99$832.53$832.07$831.61
19.9x$926.61$926.16$925.70$925.24$924.79
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