MGNI

MGNI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.77)
DCF$112416.36+816286.1%
Graham Number$7.62-44.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.6%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$13.63-1.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $119.60M
Rev: 5.9% / EPS: 230.0%
Computed: 14.36%
Computed WACC: 14.36%
Cost of equity (Re)17.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.70%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.95%
Debt weight (D/V)24.05%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$42067.79
Current Price$13.77
Upside / Downside+305403.2%
Net Debt (used)$73.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term222.0%226.0%230.0%234.0%238.0%
7.0%$166602.81$177209.25$188349.14$200042.38$212309.31
8.0%$126513.01$134566.82$143025.69$151904.70$161219.32
9.0%$99438.23$105768.12$112416.36$119394.80$126715.59
10.0%$80118.77$85218.56$90574.82$96197.10$102095.19
11.0%$65774.81$69961.31$74358.34$78973.74$83815.54

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.40
Yahoo: $6.45

Results

Graham Number$7.62
Current Price$13.77
Margin of Safety-44.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 14.36%
Computed WACC: 14.36%
Cost of equity (Re)17.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.70%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.95%
Debt weight (D/V)24.05%

Results

Current Price$13.77
Implied Near-term FCF Growth16.5%
Historical Revenue Growth5.9%
Historical Earnings Growth230.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$119.60M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$13.77
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $137.74M
Current: 14.7×
Default: $73.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.63
Current Price$13.77
Upside / Downside-1.0%
Implied EV$2.03B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.93B-$927.00M$73.00M$1.07B$2.07B
10.7x$23.71$16.75$9.79$2.83$-4.13
12.7x$25.63$18.67$11.71$4.75$-2.21
14.7x$27.55$20.59$13.63$6.67$-0.30
16.7x$29.47$22.51$15.54$8.58$1.62
18.7x$31.39$24.42$17.46$10.50$3.54