MPAA

MPAA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.31)
DCF$0.74-92.9%
Graham Number$5.22-49.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 15.2%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$10.31+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $12.95M
Rev: -9.9% / EPS: -18.2%
Computed: 5.40%
Computed WACC: 5.40%
Cost of equity (Re)11.63%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)46.42%
Debt weight (D/V)53.58%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$15.61
Current Price$10.31
Upside / Downside+51.4%
Net Debt (used)$213.19M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$0.84$3.25$6.06$9.31$13.05
8.0%$-1.29$0.66$2.91$5.52$8.52
9.0%$-2.76$-1.14$0.74$2.90$5.39
10.0%$-3.84$-2.46$-0.86$0.98$3.10
11.0%$-4.67$-3.47$-2.08$-0.48$1.35

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.09
Yahoo: $13.46

Results

Graham Number$5.22
Current Price$10.31
Margin of Safety-49.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.40%
Computed WACC: 5.40%
Cost of equity (Re)11.63%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)46.42%
Debt weight (D/V)53.58%

Results

Current Price$10.31
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.6%
Historical Revenue Growth-9.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-18.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$12.95M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$10.31
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $57.29M
Current: 7.2×
Default: $213.19M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.31
Current Price$10.31
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$411.26M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.79B-$786.81M$213.19M$1.21B$2.21B
3.2x$102.49$50.44$-1.62$-53.67$-105.72
5.2x$108.45$56.40$4.35$-47.71$-99.76
7.2x$114.42$62.36$10.31$-41.74$-93.80
9.2x$120.38$68.33$16.27$-35.78$-87.83
11.2x$126.35$74.29$22.24$-29.82$-81.87