MS

MS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($176.62)
DCF$65.54-62.9%
Graham Number$120.29-31.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM$82.40-53.3%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 11.0% / EPS: 20.7%
Computed: 4.05%
Computed WACC: 4.05%
Cost of equity (Re)10.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)37.54%
Debt weight (D/V)62.46%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$65.54
Current Price$176.62
Upside / Downside-62.9%
Net Debt (used)-$103.75B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term12.7%16.7%20.7%24.7%28.7%
7.0%$65.54$65.54$65.54$65.54$65.54
8.0%$65.54$65.54$65.54$65.54$65.54
9.0%$65.54$65.54$65.54$65.54$65.54
10.0%$65.54$65.54$65.54$65.54$65.54
11.0%$65.54$65.54$65.54$65.54$65.54

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $10.21
Yahoo: $62.98

Results

Graham Number$120.29
Current Price$176.62
Margin of Safety-31.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.05%
Computed WACC: 4.05%
Cost of equity (Re)10.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)37.54%
Debt weight (D/V)62.46%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$176.62
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth11.0%
Historical Earnings Growth20.7%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$82.40
Current Price$176.62
Upside / Downside-53.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$103.75B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$65.54
Current Price$176.62
Upside / Downside-62.9%
Implied EV$0
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