MSBI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($22.73)
DCF	$-14.37	-163.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$26.16	+15.1%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 11.7% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 4.06%

Computed WACC: 4.06%

Cost of equity (Re)7.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.61 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)53.14%

Debt weight (D/V)46.86%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-14.37

Current Price$22.73

Upside / Downside-163.2%

Net Debt (used)$304.25M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	3.7%	7.7%	11.7%	15.7%	19.7%
7.0%	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37
8.0%	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37
9.0%	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37
10.0%	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37
11.0%	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37	$-14.37

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-6.12

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $21.98

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$22.73

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 4.06%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 4.06%

Cost of equity (Re)7.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.61 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)53.14%

Debt weight (D/V)46.86%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$22.73

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth11.7%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.27

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$26.16

Current Price$22.73

Upside / Downside+15.1%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: $304.25M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-14.37

Current Price$22.73

Upside / Downside-163.2%

Implied EV$0

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