MSD

MSD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.72)
DCF$-0.07-100.9%
Graham Number$11.62+50.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM$15.04+94.8%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -20.9% / EPS: -2.1%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.07
Current Price$7.72
Upside / Downside-100.9%
Net Debt (used)$1.38M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07
8.0%$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07
9.0%$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07
10.0%$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07
11.0%$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07$-0.07

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.80
Yahoo: $7.50

Results

Graham Number$11.62
Current Price$7.72
Margin of Safety+50.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$7.72
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-20.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-2.1%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.73

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.04
Current Price$7.72
Upside / Downside+94.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $1.38M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-0.07
Current Price$7.72
Upside / Downside-100.9%
Implied EV$0