NEWT

NEWT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.30)
DCF$-18.79-252.8%
Graham Number$24.79+101.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM$15.66+27.3%
EV/EBITDA$13.98+13.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 3.0% / EPS: -6.0%
Computed: 3.43%
Computed WACC: 3.43%
Cost of equity (Re)11.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)30.16%
Debt weight (D/V)69.84%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-18.79
Current Price$12.30
Upside / Downside-252.8%
Net Debt (used)$538.53M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79
8.0%$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79
9.0%$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79
10.0%$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79
11.0%$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79$-18.79

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.24
Yahoo: $12.19

Results

Graham Number$24.79
Current Price$12.30
Margin of Safety+101.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.43%
Computed WACC: 3.43%
Cost of equity (Re)11.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.28 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)30.16%
Debt weight (D/V)69.84%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$12.30
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth3.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-6.0%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.76

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.66
Current Price$12.30
Upside / Downside+27.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $197.98M
Current: 4.7×
Default: $538.53M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.98
Current Price$12.30
Upside / Downside+13.7%
Implied EV$939.23M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.46B-$461.47M$538.53M$1.54B$2.54B
0.7x$56.14$21.24$-13.65$-48.55$-83.44
2.7x$69.95$35.06$0.17$-34.73$-69.62
4.7x$83.77$48.88$13.98$-20.91$-55.81
6.7x$97.59$62.69$27.80$-7.10$-41.99
8.7x$111.40$76.51$41.62$6.72$-28.17