NI

NI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($46.13)
DCF$-129.92-381.6%
Graham Number$29.44-36.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$24.72-46.4%
EV/EBITDA$51.67+12.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$1.12B
Rev: 19.8% / EPS: 11.1%
Computed: 4.43%
Computed WACC: 4.43%
Cost of equity (Re)7.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)57.61%
Debt weight (D/V)42.39%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-396.23
Current Price$46.13
Upside / Downside-958.9%
Net Debt (used)$16.13B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term11.8%15.8%19.8%23.8%27.8%
7.0%$-138.36$-157.46$-179.31$-204.21$-232.46
8.0%$-117.61$-132.74$-150.04$-169.73$-192.07
9.0%$-103.34$-115.75$-129.92$-146.05$-164.33
10.0%$-92.95$-103.38$-115.28$-128.82$-144.15
11.0%$-85.07$-94.00$-104.19$-115.76$-128.86

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.95
Yahoo: $19.75

Results

Graham Number$29.44
Current Price$46.13
Margin of Safety-36.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.43%
Computed WACC: 4.43%
Cost of equity (Re)7.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)57.61%
Debt weight (D/V)42.39%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$46.13
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth19.8%
Historical Earnings Growth11.1%
Base FCF (TTM)-$1.12B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.72
Current Price$46.13
Upside / Downside-46.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.89B
Current: 14.1×
Default: $16.13B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$51.67
Current Price$46.13
Upside / Downside+12.0%
Implied EV$40.86B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$8.13B$12.13B$16.13B$20.13B$24.13B
10.1x$44.25$35.89$27.53$19.17$10.81
12.1x$56.32$47.96$39.60$31.24$22.88
14.1x$68.39$60.03$51.67$43.31$34.95
16.1x$80.45$72.10$63.74$55.38$47.02
18.1x$92.52$84.16$75.80$67.45$59.09