OEC

OEC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($5.38)
DCF$2.18-59.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.5%
DDM$1.65-69.4%
EV/EBITDA$5.38-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $66.25M
Rev: -5.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 2.12%
Computed WACC: 2.12%
Cost of equity (Re)9.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)21.40%
Debt weight (D/V)78.60%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$5.38
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$1.04B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$2.35$6.57$11.47$17.15$23.69
8.0%$-1.35$2.04$5.98$10.54$15.78
9.0%$-3.93$-1.10$2.18$5.96$10.31
10.0%$-5.81$-3.40$-0.61$2.61$6.30
11.0%$-7.26$-5.16$-2.74$0.05$3.24

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.24
Yahoo: $6.85

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$5.38
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.12%
Computed WACC: 2.12%
Cost of equity (Re)9.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)21.40%
Debt weight (D/V)78.60%

Results

Current Price$5.38
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-5.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$66.25M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.08

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$1.65
Current Price$5.38
Upside / Downside-69.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $233.30M
Current: 5.8×
Default: $1.04B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.38
Current Price$5.38
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$1.34B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.04B$1.04B$1.04B$1.04B$1.04B
1.8x$-11.20$-11.20$-11.20$-11.20$-11.20
3.8x$-2.91$-2.91$-2.91$-2.91$-2.91
5.8x$5.38$5.38$5.38$5.38$5.38
7.8x$13.67$13.67$13.67$13.67$13.67
9.8x$21.96$21.96$21.96$21.96$21.96