ORRF

ORRF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($35.94)
DCF$-9.57-126.6%
Graham Number$53.40+48.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM$22.66-37.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 8.0% / EPS: 55.9%
Computed: 5.90%
Computed WACC: 5.90%
Cost of equity (Re)8.73%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.81 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.58%
Debt weight (D/V)32.42%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-9.57
Current Price$35.94
Upside / Downside-126.6%
Net Debt (used)$186.59M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term47.9%51.9%55.9%59.9%63.9%
7.0%$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57
8.0%$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57
9.0%$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57
10.0%$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57
11.0%$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57$-9.57

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.18
Yahoo: $30.32

Results

Graham Number$53.40
Current Price$35.94
Margin of Safety+48.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.90%
Computed WACC: 5.90%
Cost of equity (Re)8.73%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.81 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.58%
Debt weight (D/V)32.42%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$35.94
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth8.0%
Historical Earnings Growth55.9%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.10

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$22.66
Current Price$35.94
Upside / Downside-37.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $186.59M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-9.57
Current Price$35.94
Upside / Downside-126.6%
Implied EV$0