PFS

PFS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($21.50)
DCF$-18.17-184.5%
Graham Number$32.99+53.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM$19.78-8.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 15.2% / EPS: 71.3%
Computed: 4.55%
Computed WACC: 4.55%
Cost of equity (Re)8.90%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.84 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)51.10%
Debt weight (D/V)48.90%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-18.17
Current Price$21.50
Upside / Downside-184.5%
Net Debt (used)$2.37B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term63.3%67.3%71.3%75.3%79.3%
7.0%$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17
8.0%$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17
9.0%$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17
10.0%$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17
11.0%$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17$-18.17

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.23
Yahoo: $21.69

Results

Graham Number$32.99
Current Price$21.50
Margin of Safety+53.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.55%
Computed WACC: 4.55%
Cost of equity (Re)8.90%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.84 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)51.10%
Debt weight (D/V)48.90%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$21.50
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth15.2%
Historical Earnings Growth71.3%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.96

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$19.78
Current Price$21.50
Upside / Downside-8.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $2.37B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-18.17
Current Price$21.50
Upside / Downside-184.5%
Implied EV$0