PRG

PRG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($33.52)
DCF$837.82+2399.1%
Graham Number$40.89+22.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM$11.54-65.6%
EV/EBITDA$35.23+5.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.90B
Rev: -7.8% / EPS: -25.9%
Computed: 9.50%
Computed WACC: 9.50%
Cost of equity (Re)13.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.77%
Debt weight (D/V)31.23%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$776.75
Current Price$33.52
Upside / Downside+2216.9%
Net Debt (used)$293.35M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$845.09$1017.48$1218.04$1450.17$1717.53
8.0%$693.39$832.15$993.33$1179.64$1393.96
9.0%$588.28$703.81$837.82$992.51$1170.26
10.0%$511.11$609.68$723.83$855.43$1006.47
11.0%$452.03$537.67$636.70$750.72$881.43

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.94
Yahoo: $18.86

Results

Graham Number$40.89
Current Price$33.52
Margin of Safety+22.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.50%
Computed WACC: 9.50%
Cost of equity (Re)13.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.77%
Debt weight (D/V)31.23%

Results

Current Price$33.52
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-7.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-25.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.90B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54
Current Price$33.52
Upside / Downside-65.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $400.24M
Current: 4.2×
Default: $293.35M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$35.23
Current Price$33.52
Upside / Downside+5.1%
Implied EV$1.69B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.71B-$706.65M$293.35M$1.29B$2.29B
0.2x$45.32$20.04$-5.25$-30.54$-55.83
2.2x$65.56$40.28$14.99$-10.30$-35.58
4.2x$85.81$60.52$35.23$9.94$-15.34
6.2x$106.05$80.76$55.47$30.19$4.90
8.2x$126.29$101.00$75.72$50.43$25.14