PROV

PROV — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($16.21)
DCF$-25.27-255.9%
Graham Number$21.04+29.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$11.54-28.8%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 10.9% / EPS: 70.2%
Computed: 1.92%
Computed WACC: 1.92%
Cost of equity (Re)5.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.30 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)32.41%
Debt weight (D/V)67.59%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$16.21
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$161.09M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term62.2%66.2%70.2%74.2%78.2%
7.0%$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27
8.0%$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27
9.0%$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27
10.0%$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27
11.0%$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27$-25.27

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.99
Yahoo: $19.88

Results

Graham Number$21.04
Current Price$16.21
Margin of Safety+29.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 1.92%
Computed WACC: 1.92%
Cost of equity (Re)5.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.30 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)32.41%
Debt weight (D/V)67.59%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$16.21
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth10.9%
Historical Earnings Growth70.2%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54
Current Price$16.21
Upside / Downside-28.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $161.09M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-25.27
Current Price$16.21
Upside / Downside-255.9%
Implied EV$0