SIRI

SIRI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($21.73)
DCF$19.03-12.4%
Graham Number$41.62+91.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 5.9%
DDM$22.25+2.4%
EV/EBITDA$21.94+1.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $926.00M
Rev: 0.2% / EPS: -70.1%
Computed: 3.96%
Computed WACC: 3.96%
Cost of equity (Re)9.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.28%
Debt weight (D/V)57.72%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$188.82
Current Price$21.73
Upside / Downside+769.1%
Net Debt (used)$9.89B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$19.44$29.35$40.87$54.21$69.57
8.0%$10.73$18.70$27.96$38.66$50.98
9.0%$4.69$11.33$19.03$27.91$38.12
10.0%$0.25$5.92$12.48$20.04$28.71
11.0%$-3.14$1.78$7.47$14.02$21.53

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.23
Yahoo: $34.52

Results

Graham Number$41.62
Current Price$21.73
Margin of Safety+91.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.96%
Computed WACC: 3.96%
Cost of equity (Re)9.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.28%
Debt weight (D/V)57.72%

Results

Current Price$21.73
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-14.9%
Historical Revenue Growth0.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-70.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$926.00M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.08

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$22.25
Current Price$21.73
Upside / Downside+2.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.45B
Current: 7.0×
Default: $9.89B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$21.94
Current Price$21.73
Upside / Downside+1.0%
Implied EV$17.23B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.89B$7.89B$9.89B$11.89B$13.89B
3.0x$4.66$-1.31$-7.29$-13.26$-19.24
5.0x$19.27$13.30$7.32$1.35$-4.62
7.0x$33.89$27.91$21.94$15.96$9.99
9.0x$48.50$42.52$36.55$30.58$24.60
11.0x$63.11$57.14$51.16$45.19$39.21