SRE

SRE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($95.67)
DCF$-799.45-935.6%
Graham Number$59.49-37.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$54.18-43.4%
EV/EBITDA$111.70+16.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$27.73B
Rev: -0.2% / EPS: -48.2%
Computed: 5.40%
Computed WACC: 5.40%
Cost of equity (Re)8.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.07%
Debt weight (D/V)35.93%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1736.90
Current Price$95.67
Upside / Downside-1915.5%
Net Debt (used)$34.99B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-805.86$-957.98$-1134.96$-1339.79$-1575.71
8.0%$-672.01$-794.45$-936.68$-1101.07$-1290.19
9.0%$-579.25$-681.20$-799.45$-935.95$-1092.79
10.0%$-511.16$-598.14$-698.87$-814.99$-948.26
11.0%$-459.03$-534.60$-621.98$-722.59$-837.93

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.25
Yahoo: $48.40

Results

Graham Number$59.49
Current Price$95.67
Margin of Safety-37.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.40%
Computed WACC: 5.40%
Cost of equity (Re)8.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.07%
Debt weight (D/V)35.93%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$95.67
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-0.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-48.2%
Base FCF (TTM)-$27.73B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.63

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$54.18
Current Price$95.67
Upside / Downside-43.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.50B
Current: 19.6×
Default: $34.99B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$111.70
Current Price$95.67
Upside / Downside+16.8%
Implied EV$107.90B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$16.99B$25.99B$34.99B$43.99B$52.99B
15.6x$105.57$91.78$77.99$64.20$50.41
17.6x$122.42$108.63$94.84$81.05$67.26
19.6x$139.28$125.49$111.70$97.91$84.12
21.6x$156.14$142.35$128.56$114.77$100.98
23.6x$172.99$159.20$145.41$131.62$117.83