SW

SW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($46.82)
DCF$22.30-52.4%
Graham Number$34.00-27.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.9%
DDM$37.29-20.4%
EV/EBITDA$47.10+0.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.46B
Rev: 0.5% / EPS: -33.0%
Computed: 6.12%
Computed WACC: 6.12%
Cost of equity (Re)9.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.19%
Debt weight (D/V)37.81%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$61.81
Current Price$46.82
Upside / Downside+32.0%
Net Debt (used)$13.98B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$22.73$32.73$44.37$57.84$73.36
8.0%$13.92$21.97$31.33$42.14$54.58
9.0%$7.82$14.53$22.30$31.28$41.60
10.0%$3.34$9.06$15.69$23.33$32.09
11.0%$-0.09$4.88$10.63$17.25$24.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.46
Yahoo: $35.19

Results

Graham Number$34.00
Current Price$46.82
Margin of Safety-27.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.12%
Computed WACC: 6.12%
Cost of equity (Re)9.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.19%
Debt weight (D/V)37.81%

Results

Current Price$46.82
Implied Near-term FCF Growth2.1%
Historical Revenue Growth0.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-33.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.46B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.81

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$37.29
Current Price$46.82
Upside / Downside-20.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.80B
Current: 8.0×
Default: $13.98B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$47.10
Current Price$46.82
Upside / Downside+0.6%
Implied EV$38.58B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$7.98B$10.98B$13.98B$16.98B$19.98B
4.0x$21.80$16.06$10.32$4.57$-1.17
6.0x$40.19$34.45$28.71$22.96$17.22
8.0x$58.59$52.84$47.10$41.36$35.61
10.0x$76.98$71.23$65.49$59.75$54.01
12.0x$95.37$89.63$83.88$78.14$72.40