TRV

TRV — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($310.67)
DCF$2812.93+805.4%
Graham Number$306.57-1.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -13.8%
DDM$90.64-70.8%
EV/EBITDA$310.67-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $12.10B
Rev: 3.5% / EPS: 23.4%
Computed: 6.71%
Computed WACC: 6.71%
Cost of equity (Re)7.14%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.47%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.93%
Debt weight (D/V)12.07%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4633.46
Current Price$310.67
Upside / Downside+1391.4%
Net Debt (used)$3.09B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term15.4%19.4%23.4%27.4%31.4%
7.0%$3109.97$3665.18$4298.21$5017.06$5830.23
8.0%$2479.28$2917.82$3417.51$3984.59$4625.74
9.0%$2046.11$2404.67$2812.93$3275.98$3799.23
10.0%$1731.22$2031.74$2373.68$2761.28$3199.01
11.0%$1492.67$1749.31$2041.13$2371.70$2744.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $27.62
Yahoo: $151.24

Results

Graham Number$306.57
Current Price$310.67
Margin of Safety-1.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.71%
Computed WACC: 6.71%
Cost of equity (Re)7.14%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.47%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.93%
Debt weight (D/V)12.07%

Results

Current Price$310.67
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-19.1%
Historical Revenue Growth3.5%
Historical Earnings Growth23.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$12.10B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$90.64
Current Price$310.67
Upside / Downside-70.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.90B
Current: 7.9×
Default: $3.09B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$310.67
Current Price$310.67
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$70.26B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.09B$2.09B$3.09B$4.09B$5.09B
3.9x$155.27$150.64$146.02$141.39$136.77
5.9x$237.59$232.97$228.34$223.72$219.09
7.9x$319.92$315.29$310.67$306.04$301.42
9.9x$402.24$397.62$393.00$388.37$383.75
11.9x$484.57$479.95$475.32$470.70$466.07