UBFO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($10.49)
DCF	$6.33	-39.7%
Graham Number	$11.27	+7.4%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$9.89	-5.7%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 22.0% / EPS: 35.5%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 5.74%

Computed WACC: 5.74%

Cost of equity (Re)6.04%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.32 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.03%

Debt weight (D/V)4.97%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$6.33

Current Price$10.49

Upside / Downside-39.7%

Net Debt (used)-$111.30M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	27.5%	31.5%	35.5%	39.5%	43.5%
7.0%	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33
8.0%	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33
9.0%	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33
10.0%	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33
11.0%	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33	$6.33

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.71

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $7.95

Results

Graham Number$11.27

Current Price$10.49

Margin of Safety+7.4%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 5.74%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 5.74%

Cost of equity (Re)6.04%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.32 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.03%

Debt weight (D/V)4.97%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$10.49

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth22.0%

Historical Earnings Growth35.5%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.48

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$9.89

Current Price$10.49

Upside / Downside-5.7%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$111.30M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.33

Current Price$10.49

Upside / Downside-39.7%

Implied EV$0

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