USB

USB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($54.66)
DCF$-20.71-137.9%
Graham Number$62.47+14.3%
Reverse DCF
DDM$42.02-23.1%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 5.3% / EPS: 24.7%
Computed: 5.12%
Computed WACC: 5.12%
Cost of equity (Re)10.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)50.67%
Debt weight (D/V)49.33%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-20.71
Current Price$54.66
Upside / Downside-137.9%
Net Debt (used)$32.21B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term16.7%20.7%24.7%28.7%32.7%
7.0%$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71
8.0%$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71
9.0%$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71
10.0%$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71
11.0%$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71$-20.71

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.62
Yahoo: $37.54

Results

Graham Number$62.47
Current Price$54.66
Margin of Safety+14.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.12%
Computed WACC: 5.12%
Cost of equity (Re)10.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)50.67%
Debt weight (D/V)49.33%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$54.66
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth5.3%
Historical Earnings Growth24.7%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.04

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$42.02
Current Price$54.66
Upside / Downside-23.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $32.21B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-20.71
Current Price$54.66
Upside / Downside-137.9%
Implied EV$0