USCB

USCB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($19.43)
DCF$-8.77-145.1%
Graham Number$20.57+5.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$10.30-47.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -20.1% / EPS: -79.2%
Computed: 4.85%
Computed WACC: 4.85%
Cost of equity (Re)7.57%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.08%
Debt weight (D/V)35.92%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-8.77
Current Price$19.43
Upside / Downside-145.1%
Net Debt (used)$159.07M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77
8.0%$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77
9.0%$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77
10.0%$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77
11.0%$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77$-8.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.57
Yahoo: $11.97

Results

Graham Number$20.57
Current Price$19.43
Margin of Safety+5.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.85%
Computed WACC: 4.85%
Cost of equity (Re)7.57%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.08%
Debt weight (D/V)35.92%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$19.43
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-20.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-79.2%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.50

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$10.30
Current Price$19.43
Upside / Downside-47.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $159.07M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-8.77
Current Price$19.43
Upside / Downside-145.1%
Implied EV$0