VHI

VHI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.97)
DCF$-42.23-402.3%
Graham Number$23.27+66.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM$6.59-52.8%
EV/EBITDA$26.87+92.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$39.80M
Rev: -5.6% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.77%
Computed WACC: 8.77%
Cost of equity (Re)10.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.16 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.69%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)36.66%
Debt weight (D/V)63.34%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-43.15
Current Price$13.97
Upside / Downside-408.9%
Net Debt (used)$496.60M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-42.45$-47.48$-53.34$-60.12$-67.93
8.0%$-38.02$-42.07$-46.78$-52.22$-58.48
9.0%$-34.95$-38.32$-42.23$-46.75$-51.94
10.0%$-32.69$-35.57$-38.91$-42.75$-47.16
11.0%$-30.97$-33.47$-36.36$-39.69$-43.51

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.65
Yahoo: $37.01

Results

Graham Number$23.27
Current Price$13.97
Margin of Safety+66.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.77%
Computed WACC: 8.77%
Cost of equity (Re)10.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.16 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.69%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)36.66%
Debt weight (D/V)63.34%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$13.97
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-5.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$39.80M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.32

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$6.59
Current Price$13.97
Upside / Downside-52.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $216.40M
Current: 5.8×
Default: $496.60M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$26.87
Current Price$13.97
Upside / Downside+92.3%
Implied EV$1.26B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.50B-$503.40M$496.60M$1.50B$2.50B
1.8x$66.95$31.62$-3.71$-39.05$-74.38
3.8x$82.24$46.91$11.58$-23.76$-59.09
5.8x$97.54$62.20$26.87$-8.46$-43.80
7.8x$112.83$77.49$42.16$6.83$-28.50
9.8x$128.12$92.79$57.45$22.12$-13.21