WAT

WAT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($307.23)
DCF$75.21-75.5%
Graham Number$102.00-66.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 30.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$307.23+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $427.16M
Rev: 6.8% / EPS: -3.1%
Computed: 10.29%
Computed WACC: 10.29%
Cost of equity (Re)10.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.94%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.13%
Debt weight (D/V)4.87%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$60.72
Current Price$307.23
Upside / Downside-80.2%
Net Debt (used)$956.13M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.2%2.8%6.8%10.8%14.8%
7.0%$76.81$94.11$114.19$137.39$164.06
8.0%$61.14$75.04$91.14$109.72$131.06
9.0%$50.30$61.84$75.21$90.60$108.26
10.0%$42.35$52.18$63.54$76.61$91.59
11.0%$36.27$44.79$54.63$65.94$78.88

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $10.75
Yahoo: $43.01

Results

Graham Number$102.00
Current Price$307.23
Margin of Safety-66.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.29%
Computed WACC: 10.29%
Cost of equity (Re)10.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.94%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.13%
Debt weight (D/V)4.87%

Results

Current Price$307.23
Implied Near-term FCF Growth34.2%
Historical Revenue Growth6.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-3.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$427.16M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$307.23
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.09B
Current: 28.4×
Default: $956.13M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$307.23
Current Price$307.23
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$31.10B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.04B-$43.87M$956.13M$1.96B$2.96B
24.4x$283.01$272.82$262.62$252.43$242.24
26.4x$305.31$295.12$284.93$274.73$264.54
28.4x$327.62$317.43$307.23$297.04$286.84
30.4x$349.92$339.73$329.54$319.34$309.15
32.4x$372.23$362.03$351.84$341.65$331.45