MOS

MOS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($26.01)
DCF$-40.56-255.9%
Graham Number$38.16+46.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM$18.13-30.3%
EV/EBITDA$26.48+1.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$433.05M
Rev: 5.6% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.76%
Computed WACC: 7.76%
Cost of equity (Re)9.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)61.00%
Debt weight (D/V)39.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-46.52
Current Price$26.01
Upside / Downside-278.8%
Net Debt (used)$5.00B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-2.4%1.6%5.6%9.6%13.6%
7.0%$-40.86$-45.92$-51.79$-58.59$-66.42
8.0%$-36.37$-40.43$-45.15$-50.61$-56.88
9.0%$-33.25$-36.64$-40.56$-45.09$-50.28
10.0%$-30.97$-33.86$-37.19$-41.04$-45.45
11.0%$-29.22$-31.73$-34.62$-37.95$-41.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.70
Yahoo: $38.07

Results

Graham Number$38.16
Current Price$26.01
Margin of Safety+46.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.76%
Computed WACC: 7.76%
Cost of equity (Re)9.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)61.00%
Debt weight (D/V)39.00%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$26.01
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth5.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$433.05M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.88

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$18.13
Current Price$26.01
Upside / Downside-30.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.26B
Current: 5.9×
Default: $5.00B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$26.48
Current Price$26.01
Upside / Downside+1.8%
Implied EV$13.41B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.00B$4.00B$5.00B$6.00B$7.00B
1.9x$4.33$1.18$-1.97$-5.12$-8.27
3.9x$18.55$15.40$12.25$9.10$5.95
5.9x$32.78$29.63$26.48$23.33$20.18
7.9x$47.00$43.85$40.70$37.55$34.40
9.9x$61.23$58.08$54.93$51.78$48.63